Gransnet forums

Health

Excess Deaths - 1000 per week

(44 Posts)
Daisymae Wed 11-Jan-23 06:56:11

www.thetimes.co.uk/article/1aaf9062-9131-11ed-beb4-99fcdfa7645c?shareToken=487f9140850db4a6abd3c7b0fbfd9ccd It seems at last that the mainstream media are waking up to this elephant in the room. Extraordinary that 1000s of deaths more than could be reasonably expected going by without notice, let alone investigation.

growstuff Wed 11-Jan-23 11:20:05

Whatever the reason for them (and I don't know), Steve Barclay said on LBC "We don't accept those figures", so that's OK then! hmm The ONS has obviously got them wrong!

maddyone Wed 11-Jan-23 11:25:47

I might be wrong, but I thought the excess deaths have occurred because there are long waiting lists to get treatment post Covid.
Maybe someone else knows a bit more.

Namsnanny Wed 11-Jan-23 11:28:01

MSM doesnt seem to treat these deaths in the same alarming manner they did with covid.

growstuff Wed 11-Jan-23 11:49:17

maddyone

I might be wrong, but I thought the excess deaths have occurred because there are long waiting lists to get treatment post Covid.
Maybe someone else knows a bit more.

Not necessarily. The reports I've read say that it's difficult to pin down actual causes. I expect there are a number of reasons, but some investigation of the actual figures is needed. I'm appalled that the government doesn't even seem to believe their own statistics.

BigBertha1 Wed 11-Jan-23 11:52:00

I'm a Trustee on a charity that has certainly had increased admissions and unexpected deteriorations in the client group they serve since the summer.

growstuff Wed 11-Jan-23 11:58:57

Is it a charity for people with existing health conditions?

Iam64 Wed 11-Jan-23 12:18:05

My husband retired 10 years ago. He managed health-social care and yes they had good plans. He said then the death rate was increasing in a slightly younger age group. He commented last year, it was continuing

I’m listening to pmq’s. Sunak has no shame

Daisymae Wed 11-Jan-23 15:26:32

Iam64

My husband retired 10 years ago. He managed health-social care and yes they had good plans. He said then the death rate was increasing in a slightly younger age group. He commented last year, it was continuing

I’m listening to pmq’s. Sunak has no shame

Apparently the increase is across all age ranges. There surely needs to be investigations into the root causes. I guess that the NHS waiting lists are a factor, but there may be other issues at play. Whatever, a light needs to be shined and explanations given.

Dickens Wed 11-Jan-23 15:38:22

growstuff

Whatever the reason for them (and I don't know), Steve Barclay said on LBC "We don't accept those figures", so that's OK then! hmm The ONS has obviously got them wrong!

... talk about contempt. If he doesn't accept those figures - then what is the point of the ONS?

I think what he's saying is that those figures are so damning of my government - so I'm going to deny them.

watermeadow Wed 11-Jan-23 15:53:25

The Tory party always intended to do away with the NHS and have purposely run it down and privatised it, bit by bit, for the past 12 years.
They have got what they wanted and in the wreckage of our health system, extra deaths were inevitable.
What’s 1000 extra per week? Plenty more sick people where they came from, to go private and make a profit.

pascal30 Wed 11-Jan-23 17:09:14

I was chatting to my hairdresser yesterday and her OH moves bodies as a job. Apparently there are 190 bodies in our local hospital mortuary and no more room. Quite a lot are younger
people. I think the government are being very deceitful and dishonest about the true numbers..

Hetty58 Wed 11-Jan-23 17:26:23

I can't help thinking of many other 'advantages' for our government. Reduced outlay on pensions and disability benefits, fewer economically inactive - oh, and increased housing availability - what's not to like?

LizzieDrip Thu 12-Jan-23 08:59:24

I expect that many of the excess deaths will be from sectors of society looked upon with utter disdain by this government, so they don’t care. They will be people from sociologically disadvantaged groups of society who possibly had inadequately managed health conditions (yuk; can just see Sunak turn his nose up) - so they don’t matter. Tories see them as a drain on resources anyway!

Daisymae Thu 12-Jan-23 17:12:35

LizzieDrip

I expect that many of the excess deaths will be from sectors of society looked upon with utter disdain by this government, so they don’t care. They will be people from sociologically disadvantaged groups of society who possibly had inadequately managed health conditions (yuk; can just see Sunak turn his nose up) - so they don’t matter. Tories see them as a drain on resources anyway!

Quite possible. But what is needed is analysis of the stats so that we can understand the causes and address the issue. I doubt that there's a single answer but work needs to be done pretty quickly. People are dying.

growstuff Thu 12-Jan-23 18:29:28

I agree Daisymae. Without some analysis, any comments are just speculation. Not only that, but those with some kind of agenda will start using the stats to support their own argument and there will be all sorts of "fake news" stories. It's just not good enough for the government to ignore the figures, hoping nobody notices.

Dickens Thu 12-Jan-23 18:42:46

Daisymae

LizzieDrip

I expect that many of the excess deaths will be from sectors of society looked upon with utter disdain by this government, so they don’t care. They will be people from sociologically disadvantaged groups of society who possibly had inadequately managed health conditions (yuk; can just see Sunak turn his nose up) - so they don’t matter. Tories see them as a drain on resources anyway!

Quite possible. But what is needed is analysis of the stats so that we can understand the causes and address the issue. I doubt that there's a single answer but work needs to be done pretty quickly. People are dying.

... but work needs to be done pretty quickly. People are dying.

Quite!

I cannot remember who recommended this - it might have been a 'political commentator' (on matters medical), but it was suggested that the government could - like it did during Covid - fund the block booking of care home beds to discharge the (how many - thousands?) of medically fit patients. And mobilise an emergency force of volunteer carers to help support patients at home after they've been discharged.

At least one of the causes of these excess deaths is that very seriously ill people are waiting too many hours to be admitted.

One doctor - who I think wanted to remain anonymous - said that he had to move a very unwell patient out of a cubicle in A&E because another who was lying on a trolley in the corridor was, he knew, dying... and he didn't want that person to die in the corridor. This is awful to contemplate.

However, solutions are easy to offer but more difficult to put in practise.... where, for example, would that army of volunteer carers come from?

Perhaps the biggest hurdle though is that the current government doesn't appear to want to accept that the NHS is now in a full-blown crisis. Steve Barclay, the Health Secretary, has already denied the ONS figures on deaths - "I don't accept those figures".
With that approach, we're hardly likely to get an analysis of the statistics (an analysis which would certainly give an insight as to the causes). So while the government defend themselves and their record dealing with the NHS people are, as you say, dying.
I agree with you that there's probably not a single answer, but if the government refuse to acknowledge those figures - we'll get no answers at all.

MayBee70 Thu 12-Jan-23 18:58:28

Dr John Campbell, whose blog I followed right from the beginning, is intimating that it’s the vaccine that is causing these excess deaths. I tried to post on his Facebook page that he said nothing about the vaccines posing a danger until he interviewed someone who claimed to be vaccine damaged and he then became very anti vaccine and conspiracy theorist.The page wouldn’t allow my post even though all I said was that I was very upset about what he was implying. At the beginning of the pandemic the advice he gave was very sound eg get an oximeter, take vitamin D, try to lose weight. To be fair he’s been banging on about the excess death rate for ages at a time when no one else was mentioning it. I don’t believe what he’s implying because I think there are lots of factors that are causing this, but it still worries me.

varian Thu 12-Jan-23 19:07:23

The fact that the National Health Service (nhs) is under enormous pressure is undisputed. Almost everything else is debated, including the question of how many patients are dying as a result of the chaos in hospitals. The proportion of patients who wait more than 12 hours in accident-and-emergency (a&e) departments to be admitted to a ward has risen from 2% to 7% over the past year. The Royal College of Emergency Medicine (rcem), a doctors’ association, has estimated that delays in a&e are leading to 300-500 additional deaths per week. Officials at nhs England do not accept this figure.

www.economist.com/britain/2023/01/11/how-many-excess-deaths-in-england-are-associated-with-a-and-e-delays

Fleurpepper Thu 12-Jan-23 19:09:18

Awful Bridgen has also been blaming the vaccine and has had the whip taken off him.

varian Thu 12-Jan-23 19:13:13

Andrew Bridgen is a clueless impressionable idiot. He is also a fanatical extreme brexiter. How on earth did he ever get selected by the Cons, then elected by his constituents????

How much more evidence do we need to conclude that our corrupt and absurd FPTP system of electing MPs is ridiculous and must be changed?

MayBee70 Thu 12-Jan-23 19:53:43

Fleurpepper

Awful Bridgen has also been blaming the vaccine and has had the whip taken off him.

They said they took the whip off him because his comments were anti semitic though. I don’t think they mention his accusations regarding the vaccine. He is a vile man.

Casdon Thu 12-Jan-23 20:47:01

How would FPTP stop idiots being elected though varian? It wouldn’t.

I think the excess deaths are down to multiple factors, I don’t know if it’s happening in England too, but in Wales there’s a big campaign going on now to avoid delayed diagnosis, because one of the known factors for excess deaths here is people not going to the doctor soon enough when they have serious symptoms, particularly cancer symptoms, exacerbated in the pandemic.

Casdon Thu 12-Jan-23 21:29:28

Casdon

How would FPTP stop idiots being elected though varian? It wouldn’t.

I think the excess deaths are down to multiple factors, I don’t know if it’s happening in England too, but in Wales there’s a big campaign going on now to avoid delayed diagnosis, because one of the known factors for excess deaths here is people not going to the doctor soon enough when they have serious symptoms, particularly cancer symptoms, exacerbated in the pandemic.

Sorry, I’ve done it again - I meant how would PR stop idiots being elected? As I’ve mentioned before, we have PR in Wales, and ended up with Neil Hamilton as the UKIP regional member for my constituency under the PR system, it was embarrassing to say the least.

varian Fri 13-Jan-23 09:44:43

There is never going to be an electoral system which can guarantee it will keep out idiots but there do seem to be far too many idiots, with harmful crazy ideas, in the House of Commons, especially in the Tory Party.

We desperately need root and branch constitutional reform.