We don't know what deal we will get yet, until negotiations start and then it will take ages.
The problem is that, as far as the prosperity of the UK is concerned and the prospect of improving the condition of the 'left behinds' who voted leave (which I know aren't all Leave voters but which are,IMO, morally, the most important people to consider in all this) is concerned the best 'deal' is the one we have now.
As far as I can gather, from serious commentators from the Leave, Remain and Neutral positions (yes, there are some Neutral people) we would be best served by a gradual exit over a number of years in order to sort out infraastructure, trade deals, regulatory bodies etc. Something like being an EEA member. The next worse scenario is May's apparently proposed 'Hard Brexit' which would leave us with all the work to do in a rush and as the weaker partner in trade deals; and the worst case would be just leaving with nothing agreed (which is what she is threatening if you look at the 'concession' she made on Parliament having a vote on the final deal. The choice would be her deal or crash out with nothing at all.) 'Hard' brexit is forecast to be economically very damaging; not to mention all the billions we will have to pay to the EU, and crashing out would be ruinous.
This is not 'Project Fear'; this is cold hard reality and the people who will suffer the most are the people who were suffering enough last year to vote Leave in the hope that it would improve their lives.
This blog is by a guy who has been campaigning to Leave the EU just about ever since we joined it! It's a commentary on an article with the title:*Mrs May's Brexit threatens chaos at our ports*
www.eureferendum.com/blogview.aspx?blogno=86375
It is a fair bet, writes Booker that few of the 52 percent of us who voted to leave the European Union imagined that what we were voting for might be bare shelves in our supermarkets, an end to the smooth arrival of the 30 percent of our food that we import from the EU (and much else), and the backing up of countless thousands of trucks as they wait, possibly for days, for customs clearance at Dover and Calais.
Yet such is the nightmare scenario being conjured up by the experts at the sharp end of all this trade, our main road haulage organisations, as they try to digest the shock of Theresa May's decision that we should drop out of both the EU's single market and the wider European Economic Area (EEA).
What they realise is that this would also, inevitably, mean the reappearance of customs controls at our borders with the EU (including Northern Ireland), as we drop out of the incredibly complex, electronically based system which ensures that the 12,000 lorry movements a day between the UK and the rest of the EU operate so smoothly that there are scarcely no delays.
The issue that so many people are failing to understand is that the moment we leave the EU we become what it calls "a third country". That is the inevitable, inescapable consequence of Brexit. It's what we leavers wanted, and it's what we're going to get. But we cannot and should not pretend that there are no consequences, and everything is going to be just as it was before.
As an EU Member State, it is all too easy, and we've forgotten what it was like before the border posts came down. Richard Burnett, chief executive of the Road Haulage Association, tells us that the trucks on which we rely currently enjoy such "seamless" access in each direction that "it's as easy to deliver from Milan to Manchester as it is from Manchester to Leeds.
"After Brexit", he adds, "that will no longer be the case". Unless we "get the process right", the system "for getting food into the country will grind to a halt". The same also applies to our exports worth billions a year, travelling in the other direction. ..... and it continues
And this is just one small aspect of the implications of leaving the EU.