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Cliff Edge anyone?

(1001 Posts)
whitewave Fri 30-Jun-17 07:31:33

This term gets bandied about in relation to Brexit without any of the consequences attached to it.

I have just done some research/ reading and thought it was time we all had the opportunity to discuss what exactly a "cliff edge Brexit" means and whether it can be taken seriously as a "no deal is better than a bad deal" deal.

So talks have failed and our government decides to go it alone.

It is day one of Britains great adventure

We have no trade deals with the EU or the rest of the world.
The economy goes into recession
We now have in front of us several years of negotiating trade deals both with our potentially biggest customer -Europe and the rest of the World.
Countries like Argentina and others that bear a grudge will block any dealings with the WTO.
Getting exports to Europe will become an absolute nightmare, as even if we have successfully arranged our borders for a post Brexit scenario, Europe has only just begun to get their border controls in place for the flow of goods to and from the UK.
The SE becomes a huge lorry park as good stand waiting to be processed. There is a potential for shortages to occur- particularly in relation to food, as there is only one port in Europe that is set up to deal with this commodity, and that is not yet functioning.
Issues like "country of origin" causes complete chaos for business and everything becomes a bureaucratic nightmare.
Flights are delayed/cancelled until the UK can do its own deals with regard to flight rights.
And of course as we have read only recently, nuclear material will dry up, threatening cancer and other treatment.

References are available on request????

whitewave Mon 24-Jul-17 08:15:10

IMF predicting a slowing economic growth in the U.K. and the same for next year, as they suggested before the referendum. The EU and China are experiencing good growth.

Brexit will be a negative to the UK economy, but only a mild negative providing the negotaiations go well.

I hope the Brextremists are listening.

Primrose65 Mon 24-Jul-17 09:33:21

Lots about Brexit in The Economist magazine this week - editorial comment and a feature article on the 6 different flavours of Brexit. Well worth a read.

Tegan2 Mon 24-Jul-17 12:13:14

Can't wait to eat some of that chlorinated chicken from the US; yummy...

GillT57 Mon 24-Jul-17 12:17:09

Yes tegan and the delicious, antibiotic laden, artificially fattened beef, yum

whitewave Mon 24-Jul-17 12:19:00

My theory is, is that is why the Americans are so big - I don't mean far but taller etc, it's the growth hormones in their meat.

durhamjen Mon 24-Jul-17 12:30:03

The only newspaper that supports that theory is the Daily Mail, whitewave.
Make of that what you will.

Elegran Mon 24-Jul-17 12:39:43

Well, that is how you fatten up cattle, and if the hormones are still around in the beef, then they will go into the consumer, and one of the side effects of the pill used to be weight gain.

Ofcpourse, it could be just that they eat bigger helpings than we do (or more than we used to, anyway, plates seem to have got bigger)

whitewave Mon 24-Jul-17 13:19:21

dj then I'm clearly wrong!!! Back to the drawing boardgrin

Tegan2 Mon 24-Jul-17 16:29:37

There is a rumour [unsubstantiated] that the Daily Mails publishers are planning to move to Ireland shock. Interesting to see if it's fake news or not...

Welshwife Mon 24-Jul-17 16:54:26

I saw that report too!

GillT57 Mon 24-Jul-17 17:35:32

The publishers of the Daily Mail will move to wherever there are tax advantages. Maybe they fear that Brexit means they won't be able to dodge tax anymore, if that's the case it is a yes from me!

Tegan2 Mon 24-Jul-17 17:41:53

Post brexit it will be the shareholders of everything that call the tunes; the environment will come a very remote second [if it's considered at all]. This is one of my biggest fears.

durhamjen Mon 24-Jul-17 19:41:32

www.europeanmovement.co.uk/r?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.ft.com%2Fcontent%2Fb638551a-68c3-11e7-8526-7b38dcaef614&e=e4ade6782821f6e194bf9f8933e3b563&utm_source=euromove&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=briefing_10_s&n=3

From the man who wrote Article 50., wanting a halt to Brexit.

durhamjen Mon 24-Jul-17 20:11:27

www.theweek.co.uk/87046/imf-cuts-uk-growth-forecast-citing-tepid-economy-and-brexit-concerns

varian Mon 24-Jul-17 20:18:26

An excellent letter which everyone should read, dj

durhamjen Mon 24-Jul-17 20:22:16

Yes, varian, but the ones who really should will not. We can but try.

whitewave Mon 24-Jul-17 20:33:52

Sky reporting that Fox is "open" to importing chlorinated chicken from the EU. So I suppose that will mean the drug loaded beef as well. Shame he hasn't taken the consumer into account

durhamjen Mon 24-Jul-17 22:58:11

He was asked if he would eat one himself and declined to answer. Number 10 declined to answer as well.

www.theguardian.com/business/2017/jul/24/britain-is-fast-becoming-the-sick-man-of-europe-experts-debate-brexit-data

Two experts who know nothing, obviously, according to Brexiteers.

MaizieD Tue 25-Jul-17 07:44:21

Just speculation,jen grin

whitewave Tue 25-Jul-17 08:05:15

We were known as the sick man when we joined up in the 70s. Our economy then took off and apart from the normal blips experienced by every economy, we haven't looked back.

Welshwife Tue 25-Jul-17 08:16:06

Might be physically sick this time too with the US meat!!!

whitewave Tue 25-Jul-17 08:23:03

Listening to 4. Animal welfare standards.

It is worrying. I always worry about our exploitation of animals and consider that even in this country, even though we claim to have the highest welfare standards animals are still exploited.

But to purchase meat that has been produced by intensive rearing with the animal never lived remotely anything like a normal albeit very short existence seems to me to be a retrograde step too far.

What I think is that if we do this our market will see very cheap chicken and beef with which our farmers can't compete. People who are hard pressed will buy it - of course they will.

We need to protect our animals and farmers.

nightowl Tue 25-Jul-17 08:32:46

All true whitewave but let's not forget that our membership of the EU has prevented the U.K. from banning live exports, which has to be one of the worst examples of exploitation and cruelty to animals there is.

petra Tue 25-Jul-17 08:44:05

Would any of you commenting on the chlorinated chicken care to tell me when you had to buy a chicken that wasn't raised in this country.

whitewave Tue 25-Jul-17 08:58:26

You miss the point as far as I'm concerned petra the imported meat will be a lot cheaper than our higher welfare meat. People will buy it.

This has three consequences - our farmers will find it difficult to compete

Animals breed in less that ideal standards are being exploited, and
our farmers may be tempted to join the race to the bottom.

My deepest concern is animal welfare

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