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Northern Ireland and Brexit

(364 Posts)
MaizieD Sat 29-Sept-18 10:42:25

An Irishman tries yet again to explain the huge Brexit problem with NI. In response to yet another airy dismissal by Boris Johnson:

Start

Patrick Kielty @patrickielty
And please.... please don't tell me it's "our money" or that the UK government would have done it anyway because I can't be bothered to take you by the hand, lead you to a corner and explain simple things in words of one syllable

1. Northern Ireland is made up of a majority of Unionists (as in the Conservative and Unionist Party) and, believe it or not, a rather large minority of Nationalists (as in Irish Nationalists)

2. These Irish Nationalists don’t see themselves as British but rather inconveniently as Irish (who knew?)

3. For over 30 years we killed each other because of these differences which means Northern Ireland is nothing like Camden or Westminster.

4. The Good Friday Agreement ended that violence by the following devious magic - Unionists were guaranteed that Northern Ireland would be part of the UK until the majority voted otherwise.

The Irish was border was removed and the island linked so Nationalists could pretend they were already living in a United Ireland (yes, Tony Blair did slight of hand much better than you)

5. Some of these Nationalists then accepted being part of the UK as their day to day lives were essentially Irish.

6. This cunning plan was sold to us on the basis that we were all part of the EU therefore fixation on nationality was so last World War.

7. Implementing the Good Friday Agreement was torturous (think Brexit with actual bombs, not metaphorical suicide vests) but we finally made peace. Yet 20 years later NI remains a divided society.

8. Thanks to your glorious Brexit vision Northern Ireland will become more divided as some form of economic border checks will become part of daily lives.

9. If those checks take place between NI and Ireland, the Nationalists who were once happy being part of the UK will change their mind.

10. If they take place in the Irish Sea some Unionists will be livid. However they'll still support being part of the UK (the clue is in the Unionist bit)

11. Your Brexit lies have opened a Pandora’s box for Northern Ireland. It's one reason why the majority of people in NI voted to remain in the EU (almost as if they knew more about the fragile equilibrium of their politics than you)

12. Barely mentioned before Brexit, a border poll is now inevitable thanks to your monumental ignorance.

13. When that poll is eventually held the Nationalists who were once content being part of a Northern Ireland within the UK and EU will vote to leave the UK to feel as Irish and European as they did before Brexit.

14. The poll will be much closer thanks to your Brexit folly and could easily be lost by Unionists, breaking up the UK.

15. Any break up of the Union will be your fault (a tad inconvenient as a member of the Conservative and er, Unionist party)

16. The EU is not responsible for your blundering lack of foresight. Like most people in Northern Ireland they were happy with the status quo.

17. By the time the penny drops that you can’t preserve the Union you want without the one you don’t, it will be too late.

18. You will be remembered not as the Churchillian visionary you delude yourself to be but the ignoramus who triggered the break up of the UK.

19. If there’s any justice all this will come to pass when you're Prime Minister so you can finally swim in the constitutional sewage you've created (though we all know you’ll be in Nice with your trotters up)

20. Meantime, if you’re so concerned about keeping Northern Ireland totally aligned with the rest of the UK where’s your support for our same sex marriage and women’s right to choose? Your silence is deafening.

End

In a nutshell, so to speak grin

varian Sun 17-Mar-19 20:14:04

So what would actually happen with no deal? These are just some of the consequences:

Trade The UK would revert to World Trade Organisation rules on trade. While Britain would no longer be bound by EU rules, it would have to face the EU’s external tariffs.

The price of goods in shops for Britons could go up as businesses would have to place tariffs on goods imported from the EU.

Some British-made products may be rejected by the EU as new authorisation and certification might be required.

Manufacturers could move their operations to the EU to avoid delays in components coming across the border.

People The UK would be free to set its own controls on immigration by EU nationals and the bloc could do the same for Britons.

There could be long delays at borders if passport and customs checks are heightened. The fate of expats – there are 1.3 million Britons in EU countries and 3.7 million Europeans in Britain – in terms of their rights to live and work would be unclear.

Professionals working in the EU might find their qualifications are no longer recognised, meaning they are no longer able to practice.

Flights to the EU could be grounded as the necessary safety confirmations to cover both ends of the journey might not be in place.

Laws Relevant EU laws would be transferred over so there would be no black holes in Britain’s lawbook. Britain would no longer have to adhere to the rulings of the European Court of Justice but it would be bound to the European Court of Human Rights, a non-EU body.

Money The Government would not have to pay the annual £13 billion contribution to the EU budget. However Britain would lose out on some EU subsidies – the Common Agricultural Policy gives £3 billion to farmers.

The Irish border The issue of the border between Northern Ireland and the Republic would remain unresolved. While physical infrastructure has been vetoed, the border would become an external frontier for the EU in the event of a no deal Brexit. There would be pressure to enforce customs and immigration controls.

inews.co.uk/news/brexit/no-deal-brexit-what-meaning-uk-leave-uk-consequences/

GabriellaG54 Sun 17-Mar-19 20:30:10

All this, because of some knuckleheads across a certain stretch of water...not La Manche.

GabriellaG54 Sun 17-Mar-19 20:33:10

I vote that we cut them adrift, so to speak and let them fight out their differences as they have since time immemorial.

varian Sun 17-Mar-19 20:40:05

I am shocked (perhaps too easily shocked) by the blatant racism of some leave voters on GN. I had hoped that the era of "Irish jokes" had long gone.

Sir Vince Cable, in his final speech to a LibDem conference as party leader targetted Northern Ireland Secretary Karen Bradley for criticism after a series of gaffes.

"It really is quite shocking that this Government is so lacking in talent that it employs a Secretary of State for Northern Ireland who says she doesn't understand sectarian voting patterns and then compounds this public declaration of ignorance with a blatantly and naively one-sided view of the killings in the Troubles," he will say.

The success of Brexit is now in the hands of a small group of MPs "Ms Bradley has revealed an ugly truth: that peace in Ireland matters less than peace in the Conservative Party."

www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/sir-vince-cable-liberal-democrat-party-conference-brexit-european-union-karen-bradley-a8826661.html

GabriellaG54 Sun 17-Mar-19 20:41:10

Message deleted by Gransnet. Here's a link to our Talk Guidelines.

varian Sun 17-Mar-19 20:43:29

Is it was possible to "fix stupid" this brexit nonsense would have been killed off years ago.

Jabberwok Sun 17-Mar-19 21:41:37

The EU is a richmans club run by the wealthy elite. It bullies countries that don't do its bidding, traps those who want to leave taking its cue from the late USSR, cares little for ordinary people, no audited accounts, unlimited hidden expense accounts and quite frankly it stinks! If only we could get out of this odious organisation, but sadly our politicians are so duplicitous and self serving that any hope of that would seem well and truly scuppered. How depressing is that?!

varian Sun 17-Mar-19 21:54:04

That sounds like a quote from Vladimir Putin.

MaizieD Sun 17-Mar-19 22:10:09

varian grin

annep1 Sun 17-Mar-19 22:23:02

GabriellaG as a law abiding British citizen of the UK living in Northern Ireland I resent your comments.

GabriellaG54 Mon 18-Mar-19 07:20:09

annep1
Resent all you like. I stand by my words.
Did I mention you, or was I referring to the troublemakers?
Unless you belong to one of those groups then I see no reason for your prickly attitude.
It's amusing to see people take on the mantle of faux indignation.
My ex lives between NI and another country and I'm absolutely certain that he wouldn't think my slings and arrows were aimed at him.

crystaltipps Mon 18-Mar-19 07:24:25

I think you’ll find that Britain has a great deal to answer for in the history of disputes in Ireland, both north and south. Not just the fault of “knuckleheads across the water”. We can’t just wash our hands of a dispute that was, historically, our making.

andycameron69 Mon 18-Mar-19 08:00:55

jabber well said
I enjoy your factual posts

all will be fine everyone, when we WTO on the 29th, not long now

annep1 Mon 18-Mar-19 08:40:03

I vote that we cut them adrift

Who is this aimed at GabriellaG

Crystaltipps is correct. Read your history.

annep1 Mon 18-Mar-19 08:49:35

I used to read this kind of stuff on facebook. I expected better from GN.

jura2 Mon 18-Mar-19 09:04:42

Gabriella wants to cut a lot of people adrift- first British expats living in EU, now the Irish - who is next. Remainers probably ;)

It is time to accept that there is NO solution to the Irish/NI border.

jura2 Mon 18-Mar-19 09:24:28

GrannyGravy13: 'Am I correct in thinking that Switzerland has no hard borders, is not in the EU but is part of Shengen.
There must be a similar solution for NI without shengen though.'

This is a myth- Switzerland has hard borders- which are soft ;) EG there is physical infrastructure, booths, barriers (which are normall opened) - the main posts are wo/manned 24/7- small one like ours round the corner from us- only a few hours a day at random. They are armed. Because of Schengen, they are not allowed to check your papers - unless, and it is a big 'unless' they have any doubt or suspicion (sp?) - in which case they can do more or less what they want- and keep you until they have checked everything on International registers, searched you, including very invasive searches, etc. What they can do anytime, is check the car for any goods, eg how much meat or stuff you have bought from abroad (in our case France). For lorries, they have to check at specific border posts for all the administrative stuff.

On top of that, all the minor roads are patrolled 24/7- including small ones in the woods, over the mountains- and they will stop anyone they consider 'suspicious'. And on top of that- they can set up temporary check posts in lay-bys along roads up to 30 kilometres from border- anytime, anywhere. Stop and check for goods- but anything else if they have any doubt at all. When I was still living in UK, I had to come urgently to see mum who was very poorly. Got to the border with a Hire Car, so they stopped me and asked for my passport and driving licence. He thought it was weird t have someone with a local accent with a British Passport and British Driving Licence- so I had to go into the office whilst he checked the International Register - I sat there quietly - until the other officer shouted at him 'what the hell are you doing, this is the daughter of my next door neighbours M. et Mme X. The youngster turned bright red and apologised profusely - and we had a giggle about it for years.

So soft ' I'd say no ;) and this certainly would NOT be acceptable on the Irish/NI border, for sure.

But even this would not be acceptable without full Schengen acceptance, which is based firmly on Free Movement of People. And the reason Switzerland is in a quandry since the Vote to limit immigration in Feb. 2014- and which has not been implemented as the Government realised the cost, in 1000s of ways, would be massive. Remind you of something?

A few years back, we had sil and bil from Surrey and daughter and her daughters over for Christmas- we were stopped at a lay-by about 12 km from border by a patrol. Young officer was a bit overkeen - and again- another officer shouted at him 'live her alone, it's our Jura' - again red face. Other officer came over to give us a big hug and kisses, and we were on our way (she had been twice to stay with us in UK as her BF was doing a 3 months English course with me).

jura2 Mon 18-Mar-19 09:36:48

Bizarrely enough, this popped up on my FB page just now.

Perhaps we need a bit of a reminder. I do wonder how many generations it will take. I got into real trouble with a NI relative recently when I said it would take 4 more generations before NI and Ireland could even consider uniting (most NI protestants will go crazy if you say 're-united' as they will claim that Ulster was always a separate entity).

www.facebook.com/Channel4/videos/257925298417950/

GabriellaG54 Mon 18-Mar-19 09:52:37

jura2
Was all that to show us how 'well recognised' you are in that area, because I can see no other reason for padding out the story with those 'leave her alone it's our jura ' bits, which are of no significance.
Border guards have a duty to investigate no matter who you are and the 'young' officers who decided to do so, obviously hadn't had a formal introduction.
Perhaps, in future, they will have a photo of you and all visiting family members, pinned to the office wall do that you are never stopped again.
I hope they get due punishment for having the temerity to interrupt your journey.
How very dare they.

GabriellaG54 Mon 18-Mar-19 09:55:02

do so

RosieLeah Mon 18-Mar-19 10:02:20

nfk is correct. I have lived in Northern Ireland and experienced the narrow-minded prejudice between Catholics and Protestants. They blame the British for their problems but it's really their own animosity towards each other. If all the Catholics left the North and migrated to the South, that would solve the problem. When I lived there, there was a proper border between the two and all vehicles were checked, but it didn't cause long delays. I'm sure it's much worse in Calais. The IRA are just looking for an excuse to start killing again.

MaizieD Mon 18-Mar-19 10:06:12

Nothing like spectacularly missing the point of jura's post, GG54 hmm

annep1 Mon 18-Mar-19 10:09:06

Jura it should never have been partitioned but unfortunately it was and reuniting is not simple.
I think when people stop voting for extreme parties things will change. But it will take time.
As for now, I too see no solution to the border issue.

jura2 Mon 18-Mar-19 10:17:18

No Gabriella- I was not 'well recognised' in the area- when I was first stopped- that was the point. And neither was I the second time- when we still had a right hand drive car with a British sitcker but Swiss number plate - again, that was the point.
It was my parents who were 'well recognised' the first time- and just pure luck that one of the border guards had visited us in the UK. The point being that they can, and they will stop you and check you over.

crystaltipps Mon 18-Mar-19 10:26:08

rosieleah to use your fatuous argument- if all the Protestants in Ulster who declare they are British not Irish, went to live on the British mainland where their ancestors were shipped over from, then the problem would be solved. ( btw this is not what I am suggesting - just trying to show the weakness in the above argument)