My knowledge about the ins and outs of Polish politics is scant, but it seems to be a fascinating dynamic. I’ve been reading more on the subject.
My instinct is that Polexit isn’t the end game of the Polish government. The economy benefits too much, there isn’t yet a ready-baked alternative trading scheme to jump to, Poland is uncomfortably situated between the EU and Russia, and frankly the people don’t seem to want it. I’ve learnt that much!
However, and Warsaw will have watched closely, and learned from, the Brexit negotiations, national sovereignty within, and over, the EU may well be achievable.
The EU has over-reached itself, and seems to be doubling down. Warsaw knows that Poland cannot be ejected, and it also knows that it has the geography to split the EU.
This will be interesting going forward. Especially as Germany has managed to get away with so much. I wonder if the bigger boys bully the smaller ones. Remember Greece?