Some interesting analysis of the Iowa caucus votes in the Washington which suggest that Trump did better in the religious counties than in counties which more widely reflect the USA.
There’s a history for this, with those counties ensuring caucus victories for a number an evangelical candidates (Huckabee, Santorum, Cruz) who have not gone on to win the republican nomination.
There’s a strong educational divide, and that’s widened massively since 2016. In 2016, he got 29 percent of the vote in the parts of the state with the lowest levels of college education and 22 percent in the counties with the highest levels.
In 2024, that spread more than doubled to 18 percentage points. He did particularly badly in university towns (one of which a few of my family live in, so they will be pleased).
Income was another key factor; he did better in the counties with the lowest median household income.
It will be interesting to see the Democrat caucus results.
PS: as I write, Trump is in court glowering at potential jurors in the defamation case brought by E Jean Carroll, the woman he raped.