How will Trump be better than Biden? Our annual inflation rate is down to about 2.2%. Our economy, which has produced record job growth of 15.7 million new jobs in less than four years, is now achieving the much desired “soft landing” — taming inflation while avoiding a recession and continuing growth. And wages have been growing faster than prices, so workers are feeling more positive about the economy.
Trump’s radical economic plan would endanger all the progress we have made. The former president proposes exorbitant tariffs on the imports of goods and services into the U.S. that would bring back high inflation. His so-called Maganomics would be a mega-disaster for American consumers and families.
Trump’s tariffs are “economic proposals that can actually cause inflation and put you into a recession – at the same time,” says David Kelly, chief global strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management, calling them a “perfect stagflation machine.”
Even the deeply conservative National Interest publication says “Trump’s tariffs would be a disaster for America, sparking 20 percent inflation or more for many goods and burdening average consumers with high costs. The conservative Peterson Institute for International Economics estimates Trump’s plans could cost the average household $2,600 a year, with low-income Americans suffering most.
The Financial Times points out that Trump’s proposals are similar to the protectionist Smoot Hawley Tariff Act passed by Congress in the 1930s that helped prolong the Great Depression. The Times calls the Trump’s plans “a poison pill for the American people, the US economy and the world.”
And all those immigrants he plans to deport? Well, deporting millions of undocumented workers would mean that businesses will need to replace those laborers. With historically low unemployment, finding people willing to work for low pay could be difficult, and companies may need to advertise higher wages to attract workers to replace deported laborers.
Consumers would foot the bill if companies’ productivity slows or paychecks increase in the agriculture, construction and services sectors, which have a large number of undocumented workers.
In 2022 unauthorized immigrants contributed $46.8 billion in federal taxes, with $22.6 billion going to Social Security and $5.7 billion going to Medicare.
Unauthorized immigrants also paid $29.3 billion in state and local taxes.
The deportation plan itself could be enormously expensive. Trump recently told NBC News that “it’s not a question of a price tag” for his plans for militarized deportations. The average cost of apprehending, detaining, processing and removing one undocumented immigrant in 2016 was $10,900, according to figures released by US Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) at the time.
I just hope there's a way we can stop him from destroying one of the best economies in the world.