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Trade wars - how will it effect the UK?

(218 Posts)
ayse Sun 02-Feb-25 13:17:16

It seems our government is currently sitting on the wall and trying to avoid becoming caught up in the current USA new tariffs and retaliation.

I’m fearful that this will put the cost of living up further. What do others think?

MaizieD Wed 05-Feb-25 09:20:21

Dickens

petra

If anyone is seriously interested in how the whole money system works watch The Spiders Web ( Britains second empire) on Netflix.

Thanks for the heads up - I will look at that!

My thanks, too, petra. A documentary everyone should watch..

For the benighted few (like me) who don't subscribe to Netflix, it’s also available, free, on YouTube.

m.youtube.com/watch?v=np_ylvc8Zj8

It’s not the money system I’m talking about, I’m talking about where the nation’s money originates and how it gets into the national economy. This film is about what happens when the money in the economy is captured and squirrelled away by the wealthy.

I should point out that Richard Murphy, who I get sneered at for mentioning, was a cofounder of the Tax Justice Network which features prominently in the documentary.

David49 Wed 05-Feb-25 10:52:58

“the money in the economy is captured and squirrelled away by the wealthy.”

This is exactly what is happening in the UK those with wealth are not investing it in national growth it’s being invested or gifted perpetuating the family wealth. The tax allowances are far too generous, those with wealth should be funding their own pensions and health care, yes , it’s a 2 tier system but it’s a lot fairer than we have today.

I don’t expect many householders on GN to agree, most just want to hand their wealth to the next generation without any tax.

Barleyfields Wed 05-Feb-25 10:56:17

Don’t you want to hand your wealth to the next generation David, and minimise the IHT due on your estate?

Allira Wed 05-Feb-25 11:22:37

Barleyfields

Don’t you want to hand your wealth to the next generation David, and minimise the IHT due on your estate?

No, I'm going to spend, spend, spend!

😁

MaizieD Wed 05-Feb-25 11:29:04

Barleyfields

Don’t you want to hand your wealth to the next generation David, and minimise the IHT due on your estate?

The people who are being caught for IHT are the 'little people'. The truly wealthy are escaping it altogether.

I suggest you watch the documentary petra posted about. On Netflix or youtube.

One of the reasons for our ever increasing inequality is inheritance. Read the economist Thomas Pikety. He wrote the seminal text on inequality, 'Capital in the 21st century'. pub 2011.

Do you really want a country in which the rich become richer and the poor become poorer because the rich have sucked up and hoarded the money which should be circulating, contributing to growth and improving the wellbeing of all citizens?

I'd also suggest that one of the reasons that the government has to issue more and more money is that the wealthy grab it and squirrel it away, leaving less for everyone else...

MaizieD Wed 05-Feb-25 11:43:16

The extra money in circulation has come from economic activity, increased GDP if you like plus borrowing/creation

I suggest you are confused, David
Economic activity can only take place with money that is already in existence. You could argue that money created by the commercial banks for loans is new money, but loans have to be repaid, and once they are repaid the money no longer exists. What is more, the interest paid on the loans is just more money leaving the economy and ending up in the hands of the wealthy in the form of bonus and excessively high pay.

Increased GDP has nothing to do with new money entering the economy, it's just a measure of economic activity.

Borrowing? Well, borrowing from the wealthy domestic population , which the greater part of the 'investors' in government bonds are, is just taking back money which has already been issued into the economy.

Which leaves 'creation'. Which is the source of all that money...

David49 Wed 05-Feb-25 12:14:53

Barleyfields

Don’t you want to hand your wealth to the next generation David, and minimise the IHT due on your estate?

Yes of course, but that does not help the economy, what the wealthy are doing works against the economy

Barleyfields Wed 05-Feb-25 12:17:34

Of course the truly wealthy escape IHT Maizie. They can use devices such as trusts which are of no use to those whose wealth lies in the home they live in and the savings they need to dip into. More and more ordinary people’s estates are becoming subject to IHT as house prices rise but the IHT threshold remains unchanged.

David49 Wed 05-Feb-25 13:16:13

MaizieD

^The extra money in circulation has come from economic activity, increased GDP if you like plus borrowing/creation^

I suggest you are confused, David
Economic activity can only take place with money that is already in existence. You could argue that money created by the commercial banks for loans is new money, but loans have to be repaid, and once they are repaid the money no longer exists. What is more, the interest paid on the loans is just more money leaving the economy and ending up in the hands of the wealthy in the form of bonus and excessively high pay.

Increased GDP has nothing to do with new money entering the economy, it's just a measure of economic activity.

Borrowing? Well, borrowing from the wealthy domestic population , which the greater part of the 'investors' in government bonds are, is just taking back money which has already been issued into the economy.

Which leaves 'creation'. Which is the source of all that money...

Yes, money can be borrowed and interest paid a business will employ others, sell a product and make a profit that is where money is created.
The profit is used to expand the business, more is borrowed and the cycle happens again, only when a business consolidates does taxation really matter because you are reinvesting for expansion. We have seen with Bezos he has boasted he pays very little tax because he keeps expanding, now he is spending his billions on Blue Horizon space program.

I dont have a problem with creating/borrowing more money to expand the economy, that hasnt happened for 20 yrs. One of the other drags on the economy is the trade balance over the last 20yrs, most of that time imports have cost 30billion every year more than exports

Barleyfields Wed 05-Feb-25 13:32:49

The profit is existing money David, not new money. New to the business which has made the profit of course, but not new to the economy. Why do you say that creating more money to expand the economy hasn’t happened for 20 years? Where do you think the furlough money, for instance, came from?

David49 Wed 05-Feb-25 19:00:04

Barleyfields

The profit is existing money David, not new money. New to the business which has made the profit of course, but not new to the economy. Why do you say that creating more money to expand the economy hasn’t happened for 20 years? Where do you think the furlough money, for instance, came from?

Furlough came from mostly QE it was emergency funding, that’s fine, it happened after the 2008 crash as well.
if the GDP was stronger we wouldn’t have to use QE, if we weren't importing £30bn more than we export we wouldn’t need to use QE, certainly not for everyday spending.

MaizieD Wed 05-Feb-25 21:33:14

if the GDP was stronger we wouldn’t have to use QE

How do you work that one out, David?

If the pound were stronger we'd be exporting even less because our goods would be too expensive...

David49 Thu 06-Feb-25 07:27:27

MaizieD

^if the GDP was stronger we wouldn’t have to use QE^

How do you work that one out, David?

If the pound were stronger we'd be exporting even less because our goods would be too expensive...

We don’t actually produce many goods for export, in any case they don’t have to be cheaper if they are better they will sell
Stronger sterling would reduce import cost, which is even more important

WelwynWitch3 Sun 09-Feb-25 21:24:54

Vote Labour and this is what you get, a PM that needs a voice coach and a Chancellor that can’t add up, oh dear!

growstuff Sun 09-Feb-25 21:29:14

David49

MaizieD

if the GDP was stronger we wouldn’t have to use QE

How do you work that one out, David?

If the pound were stronger we'd be exporting even less because our goods would be too expensive...

We don’t actually produce many goods for export, in any case they don’t have to be cheaper if they are better they will sell
Stronger sterling would reduce import cost, which is even more important

However, the UK does have a trade surplus with the US, boosted by financial and other services. Tariffs would hit the UK's export revenue.

Claremont Sun 09-Feb-25 21:36:53

WelwynWitch3

Vote Labour and this is what you get, a PM that needs a voice coach and a Chancellor that can’t add up, oh dear!

Oh dear, of course we've just had 14 years of a Government full of amazingly capable people- who helped the country rise and rise and become so so wealthy and successful.

Mrs Thatcher certainly had voice coaching- she used to have a highly pitched squeeky voice. Even George the VI had voice coaching. Why not?

Allira Sun 09-Feb-25 22:34:44

Claremont

WelwynWitch3

Vote Labour and this is what you get, a PM that needs a voice coach and a Chancellor that can’t add up, oh dear!

Oh dear, of course we've just had 14 years of a Government full of amazingly capable people- who helped the country rise and rise and become so so wealthy and successful.

Mrs Thatcher certainly had voice coaching- she used to have a highly pitched squeeky voice. Even George the VI had voice coaching. Why not?

Even George the VI had voice coaching. Why not?

Thst's not very fair, Claremont!
King George VI had a terrible stammer and felt embarrassed having to meet the public and give speeches.
It was nothing to do with vanity.