I didn't believe it was before, but the set of circumstances now,
with the new regime including ministers who have insisted Netanyahu resume bombing as part of their alliance with him to hold onto power and break the cease fire and break the negotiations
the stopping of aid to Gaza
clearing by military force a huge chunk of Gaza as a "buffer zone"
the levels of bombing of non military targets
bombing in the knowledge of high numbers of women, children, the elderly, with dubious targets
the clear knowledge they are working with the US government in long term total "clearance" of Gaza
its now clear to me this is genocide