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How long can Starmer survive? Getting popcorn ready šŸæšŸæ

(584 Posts)
Primrose53 Thu 05-Feb-26 09:13:52

It seems not very long at all! What an absolute mess he has got himself into with this Mandelson business on top of all his U turns.

He now has to release everything he knows about Mandelson and Epstein. Kemi Badendoch absolutely roasted him yesterday and his Ministers could not look at him. As usual he looked like a rabbit caught in the headlights.

On top of all this, Angela Rayner (who still has not sorted out her tax ā€œmistakeā€) is waiting in the wings. 😱 She is loving all this and ready to stab him in the back and I bet he regrets supporting her and saying how wonderful she is when she was in trouble.

Oreo Mon 09-Feb-26 09:46:13

But you don’t wish to answer and that’s ok.

David49 Mon 09-Feb-26 09:49:36

Oreo

Casdon

Why? It would affect all parties, not just Labour, so the lead could be any high profile politician,, but in my opinion not a current parliamentarian, because of their conflict of interest.

Who do you think is a replacement for Starmer if it comes to it?

One name being promoted is Ed Milliband, now the left of the Labour Party have got Starmer on the run it may well be a real prospect.
Heaven help us all if that happens

ronib Mon 09-Feb-26 09:58:39

So what if Ed Milliband becomes pm? He will last about as long as Liz Truss? Sometimes we over worry. We are in a new era of revolving door politics here. Starmer has done well to last 18 months or so.

MaizieD Mon 09-Feb-26 10:16:09

I think Milliband would be fine. He has had time to reflect on his decade old mistakes when Labour leader and is doing well in his ministerial post. I would just hope that he's also learned how to eat a bacon butty...

I'm also fine with the bookies' favourite, Angela Rayner if there is a satisfactory conclusion to tax problem. She's a good political operator. She didn't overcome all her early disadvantages by being hopeless.

Casdon Mon 09-Feb-26 10:38:05

I asked you why you said what you did when we were discussing the need for a plan to clean up politics Oreo?
Hey Ho.

MayBee70 Mon 09-Feb-26 10:57:53

The country rejected Milliband once. Imo if the party just foist him on the electorate there should be an election. If not they’re just descending to the level of the Conservatives. ( I’m saying that as someone who voted for Ed as leader and really likes him). However, if there is a new leader my one hope is that Keir becomes foreign secretary as I’m sure that even people that dislike him will admit that internationally he does a good job.I’m totally in despair at the whole situation.

Casdon Mon 09-Feb-26 11:04:43

I don’t agree with you MaizieD. The selection of the leader is never down to the country, the party makes the decision. It was ever thus. Whether we like it or not, (and sometimes we do, sometimes we don’t), once a party is elected they are granted a five year term.

Casdon Mon 09-Feb-26 11:05:44

Sorry, I meant MayBee70, I got you muddled up.

MayBee70 Mon 09-Feb-26 11:52:12

Oh I don’t want an election. It’s just that I’m sick of the way parties seem to change leaders when things aren’t going well in the way that football clubs change managers after losing a couple of matches. And only care about winning trophies, not the standard of the games they play. Has anyone listened to Alastair Campbells latest TRIP podcast. He’s in despair too and can’t sleep ( which is worrying given that he has been quite open about his battles with his mental health). The sheer vileness of Epstein just permeates everything; even people only remotely attached to it is tainted.

Calendargirl Mon 09-Feb-26 12:14:42

So if Keir is out, who chooses their next leader?

MaizieD Mon 09-Feb-26 12:34:00

Calendargirl

So if Keir is out, who chooses their next leader?

Well, according to Chatgpt:

To vote for the Labour Party leader, you must be part of one of these eligible groups:

Eligible voters

Full Labour Party members

Anyone who has joined the Labour Party and pays membership dues

This is the main group of voters

Affiliated supporters

Members of organisations linked to Labour, mainly trade unions and socialist societies

They must individually sign up as affiliated supporters to vote (it’s not automatic just because you’re in a union)

Registered supporters (only if the party opens this category)

Members of the public who are not full members but register and pay a small fee

Labour used this system in some past elections (like 2015 and 2016), but it’s optional and not always offered

Important restrictions

You must also:

Be on the official voter list by the cut-off date

Not be a member of another political party that opposes Labour

Agree to support Labour’s aims and values

Who cannot vote

The general public (unless they register as supporters when allowed)

Labour MPs automatically — they only vote if they are also party members like anyone else

Non-affiliated union members who haven’t signed up as affiliated supporters

In short: ordinary Labour members, plus affiliated and sometimes registered supporters, choose the leader — not just MPs.

To become a candidate, someone must:

Be a Labour MP

Get enough nominations from other Labour MPs and MEPs (currently at least 10% of Labour MPs)

Also receive support from local Labour parties or affiliated organisations

David49 Mon 09-Feb-26 12:37:03

MayBee70

The country rejected Milliband once. Imo if the party just foist him on the electorate there should be an election. If not they’re just descending to the level of the Conservatives. ( I’m saying that as someone who voted for Ed as leader and really likes him). However, if there is a new leader my one hope is that Keir becomes foreign secretary as I’m sure that even people that dislike him will admit that internationally he does a good job.I’m totally in despair at the whole situation.

His appeal to the left of the party is strong with centerist Starmer having so many problems I would expect him to be nominated, then it depends who else runs against him.

Has he had his photograph taken with Epstein.?

DaisyAnneReturns Mon 09-Feb-26 12:44:48

Casdon

I don’t agree with you MaizieD. The selection of the leader is never down to the country, the party makes the decision. It was ever thus. Whether we like it or not, (and sometimes we do, sometimes we don’t), once a party is elected they are granted a five year term.

Exactly smile

Elegran Mon 09-Feb-26 12:51:42

REKA

Luckygirl3

Starmer is the most disliked PM ever - I think Johnson wins hands down on that one ...

Nope. It's Keir. Plenty of info from both left and right wing press says the same. Easy to google.

Johnson worked harder at being liked as the "fun guy" than he did at being Prime Minister. Starmer doesn't work at being liked or being fun because he was never a "personality" He was a working lawyer. That is not a charismatic occupation.

MaizieD Mon 09-Feb-26 12:57:50

DaisyAnneReturns

Casdon

I don’t agree with you MaizieD. The selection of the leader is never down to the country, the party makes the decision. It was ever thus. Whether we like it or not, (and sometimes we do, sometimes we don’t), once a party is elected they are granted a five year term.

Exactly smile

She wasn't disagreeing with me, DAR. She was disagreeing with MayBee.

Of course, Casdon is correct' So I agree with her, too.

MaizieD Mon 09-Feb-26 12:59:56

Elegran

REKA

Luckygirl3

Starmer is the most disliked PM ever - I think Johnson wins hands down on that one ...

Nope. It's Keir. Plenty of info from both left and right wing press says the same. Easy to google.

Johnson worked harder at being liked as the "fun guy" than he did at being Prime Minister. Starmer doesn't work at being liked or being fun because he was never a "personality" He was a working lawyer. That is not a charismatic occupation.

Interesting that the most admired and high achieving PM in my lifetime was Clement Atlee, who, by all accounts seems to have been completely devoid of charisma... But we have him to thank for the NHS

Maremia Mon 09-Feb-26 13:04:35

Johnson? Charisma? Some say that Trump has charisma.
Is Starmer the most disliked PM by voters on the right because of that huge win?

Mamie Mon 09-Feb-26 13:06:43

MayBee70

Oh I don’t want an election. It’s just that I’m sick of the way parties seem to change leaders when things aren’t going well in the way that football clubs change managers after losing a couple of matches. And only care about winning trophies, not the standard of the games they play. Has anyone listened to Alastair Campbells latest TRIP podcast. He’s in despair too and can’t sleep ( which is worrying given that he has been quite open about his battles with his mental health). The sheer vileness of Epstein just permeates everything; even people only remotely attached to it is tainted.

Goodness yes utter despair and I don't blame him. I read the Amelia Gentlemen article about Epstein and the role of women and thought it was brilliant.
www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2026/feb/07/sex-and-snacks-but-no-seat-at-the-table-the-role-of-women-in-epsteins-sordid-mens-club

Maremia Mon 09-Feb-26 13:11:14

I hope this crisis cleanses UK politics of all stench and taint from Epstein.
I hope every politician sucked into his evil orbit is named, shamed and removed from power.
We know about Mandelson. We know about Andrew MW.
Who else is hiding in the shadows?

David49 Mon 09-Feb-26 13:11:25

Johnson was popular with Tory party voters even after the MPs has outed him. Starmer is being reviled by his own MPs not many voters have much positive to say about him either, its hard to see how he will survive now, if he does he will be a very lame duck with little authority.

GrannyGravy13 Mon 09-Feb-26 13:16:15

2019 - 10,269,051 voted for Labour

2024 - 9,708,716 voted for Labour

Labour had less votes with Starmer at the helm than Corbyn, but managed a huge majority due to the split of the right votes between Conservative and Reform.

This could be why they are so worried about going too far to the left…

eazybee Mon 09-Feb-26 13:19:57

Boris was the most disliked PM? The evidence of the Polls would dispute that, but his opponents were far more vociferous in their criticism. Try scrolling through past comments on Gransnet.
Starmer was expected to be a safe pair of hands but has lost the trust of his MPs. His worst failing is letting an employee take the blame for his poor decisions.

Casdon Mon 09-Feb-26 13:21:26

David49

Johnson was popular with Tory party voters even after the MPs has outed him. Starmer is being reviled by his own MPs not many voters have much positive to say about him either, its hard to see how he will survive now, if he does he will be a very lame duck with little authority.

Hmm.
www.ipsos.com/en-uk/boris-johnson-slight-favourite-public-if-kemi-badenoch-falters-half-say-none-above-or-dont-know

MayBee70 Mon 09-Feb-26 13:29:26

eazybee

Boris was the most disliked PM? The evidence of the Polls would dispute that, but his opponents were far more vociferous in their criticism. Try scrolling through past comments on Gransnet.
Starmer was expected to be a safe pair of hands but has lost the trust of his MPs. His worst failing is letting an employee take the blame for his poor decisions.

That’s because there was so much to criticise. Even decent Conservative MP’s ( the ones he didn’t throw out) wouldn’t serve under him. But he was popular because, like Farage, he seems to have conned the working classes into thinking he was ā€˜ their mate’.

David49 Mon 09-Feb-26 13:35:21

MayBee70

eazybee

Boris was the most disliked PM? The evidence of the Polls would dispute that, but his opponents were far more vociferous in their criticism. Try scrolling through past comments on Gransnet.
Starmer was expected to be a safe pair of hands but has lost the trust of his MPs. His worst failing is letting an employee take the blame for his poor decisions.

That’s because there was so much to criticise. Even decent Conservative MP’s ( the ones he didn’t throw out) wouldn’t serve under him. But he was popular because, like Farage, he seems to have conned the working classes into thinking he was ā€˜ their mate’.

He was/is a good bloke in the minds of many, as is Farage, who I think will make a bad PM just like Johnson