Once upon a time, weather forecasts were a reasonable guide to what the weather in the next 24 hours was going to be, but now they are becoming the fairy story that 'Once upon a time' suggests.
On Friday we were going to an outdoor theatrical event (if rain in the church). First thing in the morning the weather forecast promised apocalyptic weather: thunder, lightening and several hail storms, I kid you not, although 15 miles away our forecast was nice quiet dry cloudy weather. During the day this kept changing, but did agree that there was going to be heavy rain. We prepared our picnic to be eaten in pews in the church.
The performance went ahead as planned. Not a drop of rain fell all evening.
This morning I decided to do some gardening. I checked the weather forecast. It was going to to be cloudy all morning, but probability of rain was under 5%. After 20 minutes I had to come in because it was raining too heavily to stay out and it has now been raining, heavy drizzle, for about an hour. The weather forecast is still saying the chances of rain are below 5%.
Now, I know the UK rain is variable and changes quickly, but I do think they should be reasonable accurate for weather that is already near us or imminent, otherwise, why bother with weather forecasts?
Naked pair enjoy meal in non-naturalist pub.