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Brexit - the end of the beginning - the negotiations begin

(309 Posts)
JessM Sat 29-Apr-17 13:57:34

The 27 nations agreed on these principles. It took them a minute to do so.
Lots of food for thought. And not much scope for tub thumping tough negotiating rhetoric is there?
Lots to chew over here but not much wriggle room for UK.

www.consilium.europa.eu/en/press/press-releases/2017/04/29-euco-brexit-guidelines/

Fitzy54 Wed 03-May-17 06:31:13

Michael Duggan is no doubt right up to a point but goes too far. There is absolutely nothing in EU law or constitutional principles that insists on sequencing the negotiations, and he has no idea at all as to whether any of their tactics or demands are aimed at inflicting a degree of punishment. In any event the EU make their own laws. As a group they can agree pretty much anything they like with us. All they then have to do is sign up to the right bit of paper to ratify it. Mr Duggan, I'm sure, could draft that for them.

MaizieD Wed 03-May-17 08:04:21

Oh Fitzyhmm
Professor in EU law or you?
Which one should I believe knows more about the subject?

TriciaF Wed 03-May-17 08:15:36

Did anyone see on the BBC TV news this morning, Theresa May won't be allowed to lead the Brexit negotiations? So much for planning to be a b....y difficult woman:
www.thetimes.co.uk/article/you-cant-lead-brexit-talks-eu-tells-may-23p7n9hf7

Cindersdad Wed 03-May-17 08:45:12

The more I hear of Brexit and Theresa May the more I despair. The effect of Brexit on the economy has yet to be fully realised but we know that it will not be for the better. Multinationals are already trying to leave the UK.

As for TM she comes out with the same old sound bites lacking in substance which makes me think that she does not know what she is doing and is way out of her depth. Having said that Labour is even more lacking real leadership. I just hope that on the 8th June we get a parliament with less dogma that is not afraid to restore commonsense to the whole business. Most MP's voted REMAIN and presumably still think that way.

Anya Wed 03-May-17 08:52:25

How can we get 'a parliament with less dogma' etc.? It'll be just more Tories and more of the same.

I think May is trying to sell a hard image to be like Thatcher - the Iron Lady, but she doesn't seem to have a clue IMO. But this election is going to be very telling.

Are people just fixated with Brexit or will issues such as the NHS, Education, the environment emerge as important?

petra Wed 03-May-17 08:55:14

Fitzy54
"Sequencing the negotiations" that's because the majority are men and as we know they are no good at multi tasking.
I know for certain that if we had a room full of women, this could/ would be sorted.

daphnedill Wed 03-May-17 09:01:16

Unfortunately Anya I think it will come down to May vs Corbyn, which is exactly what the Conservatives want. May will win.

I despair that there is so much focus on May and that she will be given a blank cheque to do whatever she wants.

There are going to be an awful lot of tears.

MaizieD Wed 03-May-17 09:08:23

I have to say, Anya, that having initially thought this was 'Brexit' election I very quickly realised that stopping the tories destroying the NHS, education , the environment etc. is far more important. And stopping their progress towards being an elected dictatorship..

Thank heaven this election was called before the boundary changes which gave the tories even more of an advantage came into operation. This could be our last chance for some time to curb their power...

POGS Wed 03-May-17 09:35:53

I think, if you can, it would be handy for interested posters to watch BBC Parliament 'LIVE' on free view 131.

It is discussing the 'Preparation For Brexit'. They are discussing Reciprocal Rights .

Guy Verhofstadt is basically taking questions.

Fitzy54 Wed 03-May-17 15:00:02

Mazie re your confused question. Your guess was right - I'm not a professor of EU law! However, I'm sure I'm right on this one. The problem they have on sequencing is that while there was absolutely nothing in EU law that stopped them from negotiating items in parallel, there is now because the 27 got together and agreed a negotiating brief for the Commission, who are now stuck with it unless they get all 27 together again to agree a new one! Not an issue of Eu law or constitutional principles. Further, members can change any item of any article if they agree. They have made fundamental changes on numerous occasions. So really, nothing is absolutely sacred. I'm sure Prof. Duggan will confirm if asked!

Fitzy54 Wed 03-May-17 15:57:07

Sorry Mazie. Dougan!

Welshwife Wed 03-May-17 16:10:57

Greece was in a very different position than the UK now is. They got themselves into great difficulties mainly financially and had a few bale outs. That is nothing like the position of the U.K. - which could in fact ask to change the position and remain in the EU.
The people dealing in the main with these negotiations sound very reasonable all the time - since the beginning have acknowledged that about half the country does not wish to leave and is trying to accommodate that too. TM and her cohort have never acknowledged those who voted to Remain - totally ignoring them probably in the vain hope they will go away.
There was a clear pathway set out in EU law about what should follow the vote and that is all the EU is doing. It would probably be prudent of people to read what is likely to happen to the population of the U.K once Brexit is accomplished and the Govt are no longer bound by EU laws (most of which were drawn up by the UK which is acknowledged as being good at making laws). Things will be very different for the people who will have nothing like as many rights. There have been a couple of articles about this fact today which I have read.
Fortunately it may work out that the UK will need to keep some laws in place if UK wishes to trade at all with the EU. The advice from the Farmer's Union is to start stockpiling tins of food before we leave as there are likely to be food shortages - they give the reasons why.

petra Wed 03-May-17 17:00:33

It must be obvious now that these these talks aren't going to achieve diddly squat by the end of 2 years.
This was always their intention so that they could go back to the sheep and say: look, this is what happens if you attempt to leave.
I so wish that TM would just walk away, but that's not going to happen, so, bring out the big guns Teresa, be as nasty as you want. They have shown their hand now, its war ( metaphorically speaking) don't want to upset some of you delicate people

rosesarered Wed 03-May-17 17:12:57

grin

GracesGranMK2 Wed 03-May-17 17:19:32

Dear me, do I hear the sounds of stamping feet from the direction of No 10? T May reminds me of someone who has asked for a divorce expecting her other half to hand over the house, the money and the children only to be faced with the fact that she has to share and, quite possibly get a deal it is difficult to live on.

Meanwhile we still hear nothing about their ideas for the country and more and more S & S (today, I am hearing it as Sadistic and Savage - as the Cons have been to the poor and less able grin)

TriciaF Wed 03-May-17 17:42:32

GGMk2 wrote
"May reminds me of someone who has asked for a divorce expecting her other half to hand over the house, the money and the children only to be faced with the fact that she has to share and, quite possibly get a deal it is difficult to live on."
Exactly, I know someone else like that.
But what is more disturbing, how can someone as ignorant and naive as that be accepted as a leader of a country?

durhamjen Wed 03-May-17 17:47:54

She only said it twice in her doorstep speech, Gracesgran.

GracesGranMK2 Wed 03-May-17 17:48:47

Totally agree Tricia. She is basically a high level administrator. I'm afraid that is true of many of the high level so-called politicians because that way they don't upset anyone by talking about real beliefs. The issue, in her case, is that she wasn't all that successful in meeting her administrative targets; just in keeping her head down and staying in the job.

GracesGranMK2 Wed 03-May-17 17:49:59

I am expecting others to come up with other "S & S" suggestions Jen - just to help us stay sane until the end of all this smile

durhamjen Wed 03-May-17 17:54:55

Would shoddy and shameful count?
After a glass of champagne that she's probably sipping now in anticipation?

GracesGranMK2 Wed 03-May-17 18:01:04

Oh yes - it certainly would.

Fitzy54 Wed 03-May-17 18:04:39

GG I can't really see what else TM could have done to make our position much better. Could she have just Ignored the referendum and not served notice at all? Not really an option. Should she just do as the EU say? She could do that, starting with an £85bn payment and no hint of what sort of trade deal, if any, might be offered. I can't see that is any better than the current mess. The EU have us by the throat but she has to make some sort of effort to argue for more balanced negotiations. KS has put forward Labours idea but didn't refer to free movement at all. How can they just ignore such a fundamental point? I just don't see a sensible way forward so long as the EU insist on turning the screw - and I see little prospect of them failing to do so. To be honest, why should they? But to finish where I started I struggle to see what those who criticise TM really expect her to do.

MargaretX Wed 03-May-17 18:21:29

I've just jeard Juncker on German radio saying he likes
T May. He is surprised that such an intelligent woman takes such a stance. If the EU is coming over a bit strict it is because of the French election and any other state which is playing with the idea of leaving.
Whether she gets voted in as a PM is only important to her.

Germany is not afraid of not selling their cars, driving one is addictive, but they are worried about the thousands of other small industrial firms and want to get things settled.
According to Barnier UK citzens in Germany and the other EU countries, need unemployment benefit, health care and higher education, according to the norm for the normal. citizens, and he wants it all for EU workers in the UK
She has to agree with that. Why doesn't she say so?

GracesGranMK2 Wed 03-May-17 18:25:22

She must wait until she can come out of a negotiation waving a little piece of paper Margaret. She will then say she has won what was always going to be agreed.

Welshwife Wed 03-May-17 18:47:28

Actually she did not just have to go with an advisory referendum. She had a good idea the outcome of leaving was likely to be disastrous for the UK - just look at the job loses already announced with companies moving abroad. She and her Govt could have looked further into the likely scenarios of Brexit and then have a proper referendum with the necessary turnout and the right sort of division - Farage himself said 4% was nothing like a big enough gap to call it a proper result and if that was the result it would need re running.