GrannyGravy13
Katie59
Moving on from what Biden said and it’s consequences or otherwise.
Russias plan seems to have changed, they seem to be retreating to defensive positions, in many areas, probably to stop heavy losses. NATO has made it clear that heavy weapons are not going to be to provided to Ukraine, so occupied areas cannot be liberated.
There is much more occupied than Crimea or Donbas why would Ukraine agree to a ceasefire which amounts to Russian rule. Resistance and harassment along with sanctions continuing long term must seem as possibility.
Katie59 I listened to a war strategist this morning, sorry I cannot recall his name. Who basically said that intelligence sources intimated that although it looks as if Russia is retreating to a defensive stance, they are in all probability re-grouping, re-equipping and giving time for fresh troops to be deployed.
I think it’s a given that President Putin cannot be trusted to do what is expected
That's what most people seem to think, GG13. But there is a question over where he's going to get his fresh troops from. It appears that Russia has a declining population, not many young people, so fresh Russian troops are likely to be young, barely trained conscripts; useful as cannon fodder but not much else.
It's also been suggested that it's possible that places like Syria & Belarus, which have been cited as a source of fresh troops, may not be too keen to release the manpower they need to keep their own populations subjugated.
OTOH, foreign troops might be even more willing to commit the sort of atrocities which the Russians have already demonstrated they are happy to do...
I just hope that the NATO allies can keep up a good supply of arms to Ukraine, which their well experienced army seems to be able to use effectively.
Oh, and I've also seen that there's a question mark over the battleworthiness of Russian armoury because the sheer scale of corruption in the Russian supply chain has lead to appalling maintenance etc. And that they are hampered in building new armoury because they've become dependent on parts from the West, which aren't being supplied because of sanctions..