RE 'escalation'. There's an interesting thread here from twitter
According to his bio, O'Brien is :
Professor of Strategic Studies, University St Andrews, Author: How the War was Won, and Second Most Powerful Man in the World. Editor in Chief, War in History
Phillips P. OBrien@PhillipsPOBrien
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6h
The increase of Ukrainian attacks in Russia, now evident, show actually how reluctant the Russian government is to fully mobilise or escalate up the NBC chain. There was lots of talk early in the war about the Russians staging a false flag operation to justify escalation
The idea was they would need an incident. Well, that seems now unnecessary. The Ukrainians are blowing up vital facilities in a large Russian more than 350k people (Belogorod)
Heck the Belgorod Governor is openly discussing these attacks.
Quote Tweet
The Kyiv Independent
@KyivIndependent
· May 1
⚡️Governor says fire erupted at military facility in Russia's Belgorod Oblast.
One person was injured, regional Governor Vyacheslav Gladkov said on May 1. Russia has accused Ukraine of shelling its neighboring regions, with Ukraine neither denying nor confirming this.
Phillips P. OBrien@PhillipsPOBrien
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7h
Putin doesn’t need a false flag, the Ukrainians are providing him with an enormous, explosive banner, should he want to use it. But as of now he doesn’t want to. And that is interesting.